Оцінка взаємозв’язку параметрів сталого розвитку регіонів України

Abstract

В статті проведено кореляційний аналіз параметрів сталого розвитку регіонів. Були сформовані системи параметрів в економічній, соціальній та екологічній сферах. Вихідними параметрами було обрано загрози, запропоновані в дослідженні Світового Центру даних з геоінформатики та сталого розвитку «Аналіз сталого розвитку: глобальний і регіональний контексти». Вхідні параметри було визначено на основі кореляційного аналізу статистичних даних. Авторами визначено основну низку проблем, пов’язаних із оцінкою сталого розвитку в регіонах та окреслено перспективи подальших наукових досліджень в цьому напрямку. Ключові слова: сталість, сталий розвиток, параметри сталого розвитку, кореляційний аналіз, Державна служба статистики.

The correlation analysis of sustainable development parameters of regions was given. The economic, social and ecological systems were formed. The output parameters were selected based on the threats proposed in the study of the World Data Center for Geoinformatics and Sustainable Development, "Analysis of Sustainable Development: Global and Regional Contexts". The above-mentioned organization put together the efforts of leading specialists in various fields to collect and analyze data on sustainable development. Nowadays the main problem of modeling on regional level is the quality of the data and the complexity associated with their collection and processing for further analysis. The main task of the World Data Center is visualization of sustainable development in the context of the entire country and regions in particular. The modeling of these indicators was carried out using the weights given by the expert assessment. To build an adequate model, it is necessary to consider multitude of parameters, which considerably complicates the work of experts. Automatic, based on mathematical modeling, the system is necessary as a supportive working tool for the experts during the analysis of the regional sustainable development of Ukraine.The threats were chosen to form output parameters, the additional output parameter in the economic sphere was selected "Gross regional product". As a result of the analysis, the output parameters "Pollution of the environment" and "Technogenic danger" were removed for future system development.The input parameters were determined based on the correlation analysis of statistical data. The economic and social spheres have a sufficient number of parameters for constructing the model considering all output parameters and more than half of the initially selected input. The ecological sphere is described by two output parameters and less than half of the initially selected input that caused the insignificance of the linear connection between other output and input parameters. The authors identified some of the basic problems related to the evaluation of sustainable development in the regions and outlined the prospects for further research in the area. Keywords: sustainability, sustainable development, parameters of sustainable development, correlation analysis, the State Statistics Service.