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https://dspace.uzhnu.edu.ua/jspui/handle/lib/39025
Название: | Modeling migration changing according to alternative scenarios in the context of the global COVID-19 pandemic: the example of Ukraine |
Другие названия: | Modeling migration changing according to alternative scenarios in the context of the global COVID-19 pandemic: the example of Ukraine |
Авторы: | Брітченко, Ігор Геннадійович Maslii, Natalia Demianchuk, Maryna Britchenko, Igor Bezpartochnyi, Maksym |
Ключевые слова: | migration, migration movement, migration increase, emigrants, immigrants, multivariate econometric model, cenarios, Covid-19 |
Дата публикации: | янв-2022 |
Издательство: | Институт за икономически изследвания при БАН, София (България) |
Библиографическое описание: | Britchenko I. Modeling migration changing according to alternative scenarios in the context of the global COVID-19 pandemic: the example of Ukraine/Natalia Maslii, Maryna Demianchuk, Igor Britchenko, Maksym Bezpartochnyi//Списание «Икономически изследвания (Economic Studies)». – Институт за икономически изследвания при БАН, София (България). – № 1. – 2022. – P. 58 - 71. |
Краткий осмотр (реферат): | Global processes significantly affect the mobility of the population. In the context of geopolitical transformation, globalization and quarantine restrictions of Covid-19, it is important to predict the development of the migration movement of countries that are developing. Therefore, the article is aimed at modelling migration changes according to alternative scenarios using the example of Ukraine. The theoretical and methodological basis of the research is formed by a number of scientific works of leading scientists from different countries, statistical information on migration processes and socio-economic indicators of Ukraine’s development, economic, mathematical and scenario methods. In the course of the study, the main factors were identified that more affect the migration processes of Ukraine, taking into account the trends in the impact of Covid-19 on them. These include population size, life expectancy, GDP per capita, average monthly wages, and the volume of remittances from individuals to Ukraine. With the help of correlation-regression analysis, a multivariate econometric model of migration growth (reduction) has been built. This made it possible to study the absolute and relative influence of factors on the magnitude of the migration increase (decrease), determine the potential reserves for its increase (decrease), evaluate them using a comparative analysis and carry out predictive calculations of the volume of migration increase (decrease) in Ukraine. |
Описание: | Global processes significantly affect the mobility of the population. In the context of geopolitical transformation, globalization and quarantine restrictions of Covid-19, it is important to predict the development of the migration movement of countries that are developing. Therefore, the article is aimed at modelling migration changes according to alternative scenarios using the example of Ukraine. The theoretical and methodological basis of the research is formed by a number of scientific works of leading scientists from different countries, statistical information on migration processes and socio-economic indicators of Ukraine’s development, economic, mathematical and scenario methods. In the course of the study, the main factors were identified that more affect the migration processes of Ukraine, taking into account the trends in the impact of Covid-19 on them. These include population size, life expectancy, GDP per capita, average monthly wages, and the volume of remittances from individuals to Ukraine. With the help of correlation-regression analysis, a multivariate econometric model of migration growth (reduction) has been built. This made it possible to study the absolute and relative influence of factors on the magnitude of the migration increase (decrease), determine the potential reserves for its increase (decrease), evaluate them using a comparative analysis and carry out predictive calculations of the volume of migration increase (decrease) in Ukraine. |
Тип: | Text |
Тип публикации: | Стаття |
URI (Унифицированный идентификатор ресурса): | https://dspace.uzhnu.edu.ua/jspui/handle/lib/39025 |
ISSN: | 02053292 |
Располагается в коллекциях: | Наукові публікації кафедри фінансів і банківської справи |
Файлы этого ресурса:
Файл | Описание | Размер | Формат | |
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Modeling migration changing according.pdf | стаття | 306.41 kB | Adobe PDF | Просмотреть/Открыть |
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